The Propaganda Paradox: What Is Shouted Loudest Is What Is Missing Most

新语爱好者 There is a timeless political axiom that demands our attention: the more vigorously a ruling power promotes a specific idea, the more acutely scarce that idea is in reality, or the more its direct opposite is the prevailing truth. The logic behind this paradox is simple but profound. Propaganda’s true essence is not to state facts but to shape perception—to manufacture an illusion that aggressively compensates for a critical shortage of moral, legitimate, or practical power. Propaganda, in this context, is not a report on “what we possess,” but a verbal scaffolding built to bridge the growing chasm of “what we are losing.” ...

October 31, 2025 · 3 min · xgDebug

君主论

第九章 公民君主国 比起由于民众的支持而成为君主的人,得到贵族的援助而获得君权的人较难维持既有的地位,因为君主身边多的是自认为和他平起平坐的人,这使得他无法依照自己的心愿统治或管理他们。 ...

October 22, 2025 · 7 min · xgDebug

The Dictator's Paradox: Your Shield is Also Your Sharpest Sword

The Dictator’s Paradox: Your Shield is Also Your Sharpest Sword To suppress internal dissent and defend against external enemies, a dictator must build a powerful and efficient apparatus of violence (military, police, intelligence agencies). However, this apparatus of violence is the only entity within the country that possesses the necessary force and organization to overthrow the dictator. Thus, the very protectors a dictator relies on are, simultaneously, his most deadly potential threat. ...

October 19, 2025 · 2 min · xgDebug

Roadmap to the Rise and Fall of Dynasties: From "Wandering Refugees" to "Lying Flat" – The Hidden Logic

Roadmap to the Rise and Fall of Dynasties: From Wandering People to “Lying Flat” – The Hidden Logic History seems to repeat itself, but never in the exact same way. Every powerful dynasty, at its peak, looks like it will last forever. It has endless resources and total control. But in the end, they all fall apart. Is there a hidden pattern behind this, something that happens no matter what the rulers want? ...

October 7, 2025 · 4 min · xgDebug

The Nash Equilibrium of the World System

The World’s “Nash Equilibrium” The way the world economy works today, driven by a powerful manufacturing country (let’s call it “the Empire”), has created a stable situation where almost everyone seems to win, at least in the short term. Here’s a look at what each group gets out of this deal. What the U.S. and Europe Get Lots of Cheap Stuff: A flood of inexpensive goods keeps prices low. This means people can easily afford things like clothes, phones, and TVs, which helps prevent inflation. Companies Make More Money: By using cheaper supply chains, big international companies can make products for less and sell them for a bigger profit, making their shareholders happy. Politicians Keep Their Jobs: When the economy (GDP) is growing and prices are stable, people are generally happier. This helps politicians avoid losing elections over economic problems. What Poorer Countries in Africa and Latin America Get New Infrastructure: These countries get access to affordable projects like railways, roads, and power plants. They also get cheap consumer products, which helps their societies modernize faster. Better Standard of Living: Everyday people can now buy cheap phones, clothes, and appliances. In some ways, they get to skip certain difficult stages of industrial development. What the Empire’s Elite Get More Government Money: Profits from global industries flow back to the Empire, building up huge amounts of money and foreign currency reserves for the government. Stable Power: By focusing on manufacturing and exporting goods, the ruling class keeps employment high and society stable, which helps them stay in power. Global Influence: The Empire becomes so essential to global manufacturing that other countries can’t easily replace it. This gives the Empire a sense of political security on the world stage. What the Empire’s Working Class Gets A Better Life (Relatively): Even though they may be overworked, their income and living conditions are still much better than those of workers in places like Africa or India. A Sense of Pride: They get a feeling of identity and satisfaction from nationalistic slogans like “My country is amazing!,” “We are way ahead!,” and “The great rejuvenation of the Empire!” A Feeling of Purpose: Some may even feel like they are part of a grand historical mission, rather than just being used by the system. How This Becomes a “Nash Equilibrium” All of these interests combine to create a Nash Equilibrium. This is a concept from game theory where every player is making the best possible decision for themselves, based on what they think the other players will do. In this situation, no one has a reason to change their strategy on their own. ...

October 4, 2025 · 3 min · xgDebug

花剌子模信使效应:你,正在被“射杀”吗? 与普通人沟通的艺术

在信息爆炸的时代,我们似乎比任何时候都更容易接近真相。然而,一个古老而深刻的人类现象依然普遍存在:许多人并不渴求真相,甚至主动回避、厌恶和惩罚传递真相的人。他们更倾向于寻求情感上的慰藉和宣泄,而非面对冷峻的现实。这种现象,从古代的“花剌子模信使问题”到现代社会层出不穷的争论,贯穿始终。 ...

July 17, 2025 · 8 min · xgDebug

手慢无?销售心理学最简单的套路

在现代流水线工艺下,没什么工业产品是“真正稀缺”的,所有的“手慢无”都不过是一种操弄人心的销售技巧而已。

July 13, 2025 · 1 min · xgDebug

蓝星社会样本观察报告 友谊

主题: 蓝星人社会中“友谊”现象的功利性本质及其与个体生存能力的反比关系 1. 现象概述 通过对蓝星人社会结构的持续观察,一个显著的模式浮出水面:个体的物理生存能力(定义为独立获取资源、规避威胁和实现目标的能力)与其对“朋友”这一社会链接形式的依赖度成反比。 ...

July 13, 2025 · 5 min · xgDebug

人性弱点中的开发者机会

个人开发者的黄金法则: 切入点要小 (Niche Down): 不要试图做一个平台,而是做一个“插件”、“工具”或“解决方案”。 自动化和SaaS优先: 追求可订阅的、能自动运行的软件即服务(SaaS),实现“睡后收入”。 轻资产运营: 远离需要重度运营、客服和实体库存的模式。 AI赋能: 在2025年的今天,AI是你作为个人开发者最强大的“杠杆”,能让你一个人完成过去一个团队的工作。 10条人性密码 1. 男人好色的钱 ...

July 12, 2025 · 3 min · xgDebug

羊的生存手册

“别当那只叫得最响的羊,也别当那只最肥的羊。” 一、认清本质:不要做“觉醒且愤怒的羊” 愤怒是给牧羊人看的,最后只有两个结局: 被宰 → 立威 被圈 → 榨干 很多“觉醒的羊”,只不过成为了“被展示的反面教材”。 ...

June 12, 2025 · 2 min · xgDebug

The Dress You Could Never Afford

🤔 The Dress You Missed: Why ‘Regret’ Isn’t the Real Problem You might know this feeling: When you were around 18, you saw this one thing—maybe it was a perfect dress in a shop, or those must-have sneakers everyone was talking about. It felt like everything. But you checked the price, checked your bank account, and had to walk away. You told yourself, “I’ll get it later when I have real money.” ...

June 8, 2025 · 3 min · xgDebug

现在是历史上创业最“无门槛”的时刻,现在不干,更待何时?

与十年前相比,今天的创业环境变得更加自由和便利,创业者不再需要依赖传统资源,而是可以通过现代工具和互联网快速、低成本地启动项目! 一. 创业不再需要“大阵仗” ...

April 27, 2025 · 2 min · xgDebug

2025-4月小本本

0401 开发者账号与基础设置 注册开发者账号 首先,我注册了一个开发者账号。 部署 Cloudflare 然后,我部署了 Cloudflare。 添加 Gemini 支持 最后,添加了 Gemini 支持。 0402 内购通道接入 接入内购通道 接下来,我接入了内购通道。 0403 AI 单元重构 重构 AI 单元 我重构了整个 AI 单元。 ...

April 1, 2025 · 1 min · xgDebug

为什么绝对不要做短线?

说来说去还是那句名言 市场短期是投票机,长期是称重机 投机是一个 0 和游戏-我的投机教训 降低交易频次的本质 《Enough》投资与投机 市场情绪是随机的 市场只相当于一个中等智商的人,你可能偶尔猜中市场的情绪,但是你赚钱需要连续猜中两次(买点+卖点)。 而你只要猜错一次你就会亏钱。这是一个很简单的数学问题。 ...

March 9, 2025 · 1 min · xgDebug

在进攻型与防守型股票之间进行再平衡

1. 再平衡的基本概念 资产配置:投资者根据风险承受能力和收益目标,设定不同资产类别的比例(如股票、债券、现金等)。 市场波动:市场波动会导致资产比例偏离目标,如股票上涨可能使其在组合中的占比过高。 再平衡:通过买卖资产,将组合调整回目标比例。 2. 再平衡的方法 时间再平衡:按固定时间间隔(如每季度或每年)调整组合。 比例再平衡:当某类资产偏离目标比例超过一定阈值(如5%)时进行调整。 3. 再平衡的优点 风险控制:防止单一资产占比过高,降低风险。 纪律性:避免情绪化操作,保持投资策略的稳定性。 收益优化:通过低买高卖,可能提升长期收益。 4. 再平衡的缺点 交易成本:频繁调整可能增加交易费用。 税务影响:在应税账户中,再平衡可能产生资本利得税。 市场趋势:在单边市场中,再平衡可能降低收益。 5. 再平衡的实施 确定目标比例:根据风险偏好设定资产配置。 监控组合:定期检查资产比例。 执行调整:通过买卖资产恢复目标比例。 总结 再平衡是“用短期交易成本换取长期风险控制”的工具,适合震荡市或行业轮动市场,但在单边趋势市中可能付出机会成本。执行时建议结合阈值规则(如偏离10%再调仓),而非机械按时间操作。并且每年最多操作两次

March 5, 2025 · 1 min · xgDebug

对抗情绪带来的负面影响

渴望赚得更多、恐惧错失机会、好与其他人比较的个性、群体的影响和成功投资的梦想,这些因素几乎都普遍存在。因此,他们对大多数投资人和市场都有深远的集体影响,结果就是出现错误,而这些错误频繁、普遍,还会重复发生。 ...

February 19, 2025 · 4 min · xgDebug

風險愈高,報酬不確定性愈大

尤其在多頭行情時,常會聽到很多人說:「高風險的投資會帶來更高的收益。如果你想要賺更多的錢,那就去承擔更高的風險。」事實上不可能靠著高風險投資帶來高收益,為什麼呢?答案很簡單,如果高風險投資可以可靠的創造高收益,那他們的風險就不高! ...

February 19, 2025 · 3 min · xgDebug

就算市場否定,也要勇於堅持

我們在個體經濟學的基礎課程上學到,需求曲線會向右下傾斜,隨著價格提高,需求量會減少。換句話說,在高價時,需求量比較少,低價時,需求量比較多。這很合理,這也就是為什麼商店在特價時的業績會比較好。 雖然很多地方都如此運作,但在投資界卻遠遠不是如此。在這裡,很多人會在價格上漲時更愛買進的投資標的,因為他們覺得這證實了他們做的決策;而在價格下跌時,他們會比較不喜歡買進的投資標的,因為他們開始懷疑當初的買進決定。 ...

February 12, 2025 · 1 min · xgDebug

饮食计划

热量控制:每日总摄入约 1500kcal(基础代谢缺口约 300kcal) 营养配比:蛋白质 30%/碳水 40%/脂肪 30% 血糖管理:选择中低 GI 食材,贝果分次食用 操作简化:每餐准备时间<15 分钟 每日餐单模板(可根据食材灵活替换) 早餐(400kcal) ...

February 11, 2025 · 2 min · xgDebug

Hyperdbg

set env .debug remote namedpipe \.\pipe\HyperDbgPipe .debug prepare serial 115200 com1 .sympath SRVc:\Symbolshttps://msdl.microsoft.com/download/symbols .sym download .sym reload .process list .thread list process 0000000015e2b000 change process .process list .process pid 1394 g when the debugger stop, the use .process to check the process

January 30, 2025 · 1 min · xgDebug