The principles of living are essentially the art of adapting to change; one cannot be rigidly fixed on a single perspective.

Mistakes in the Last Judgment

  • My first conscious speculative attempt, where I failed to adequately consider the factor of unfinished projects (or “rotten tails”).
  • We may need to continuously correct our judgments, because the world is constantly changing.

Avoiding Extreme Thinking

  • Being fixed on one side means falling into extreme thinking—believing that a certain strategy or concept can apply forever, or holding an absolute view of certain things. This mindset ignores the complexity and diversity inherent in reality. Dealing with life and responding to change requires balance; one cannot be overly aggressive, nor overly conservative.
  • In economic decision-making, being fixed on one side might manifest as over-relying on a specific policy tool (such as monetary easing or fiscal stimulus), while ignoring long-term side effects. Similarly, in personal investment, if one relentlessly pursues a certain investment model, they may miss other potential opportunities.

Winning by Adapting to the Enemy’s Changes

  • The world is full of uncertainty and variables, whether in politics, economics, or personal life. Facing these changes, rigidly adhering to a fixed strategy or concept leads to mistakes, or even missed opportunities. Adaptation means adjusting one’s behavior and strategy according to environmental changes, maintaining flexibility and adaptability.
  • The concept of “winning by adapting to the enemy’s changes,” mentioned in Sun Tzu’s Art of War, also emphasizes the importance of responding to change. Whether facing a battlefield or various challenges in life, the ability to adapt to change often determines success or failure.

Balance and Moderation

  • The Way of the Mean (Zhong Yong) emphasizes finding balance between extremes. True wisdom lies in knowing when to persist and when to change. This applies to life, career, investment, and politics. Timely adjustment not only avoids the difficulties brought by rigidity, but also allows us to better seize new opportunities.
  • “Adaptation” is not blindly following change, but rather adjusting strategies according to the situation while maintaining core principles. This flexibility allows us to not lose direction amidst change, but also to effectively cope with challenges.

Open Mindset

  • Responding to change also requires us to maintain an open mindset, always ready to accept new knowledge and new information. Often, success depends on whether we can timely realize the arrival of change and take corresponding action. Those who always adhere to old ideas and are unwilling to accept change are often eliminated in the changing tide.
  • In the age of information explosion, maintaining openness and critical thinking is essential to avoid being misled and quickly adapting to new situations and challenges.